Biparjoy is more likely to cross Saurashtra, Kutch and adjoining Pakistan coasts between Mandvi (Gujarat) and Karachi (Pakistan) round midday of June 15 as very extreme cyclone with wind pace reaching 125-135 kmph gusting to 150 kmph, India Meteorological Division has warned on Sunday.
Very extreme cyclonic storm, Biparjoy over eastcentral Arabian Sea moved north-northeastwards with a pace of 9 kmph throughout previous 6 hours, intensified into an Extraordinarily Very Extreme Cyclonic Storm with a wind pace of 165 to 175 kmph gusting to 195 kmph and lay about 580 km west-southwest of Mumbai, 480 km south-southwest of Porbandar, 530 km south-southwest of Dwarka, 610 km south-southwest of Naliya and 780 km south of Karachi.
“This cyclone has once more gone fast intensification (2nd in its lifetime) and intensified by 75 kmph to succeed in peak depth of 195 kmph. Biparjoy can be the strongest cyclone in Arabian Sea (together with all months) after cyclone Tauktae,” stated Vineet Kumar Singh, researcher from Hurricane Analysis Centre, Jeju Nationwide College.
“Additionally, that is solely the 2nd time in north Indian ocean historical past, that each the Arabian sea and Bay of Bengal had a class 3 or increased depth cyclone in the identical pre-monsoon season. Solely such incidence was in 2019,” he added.
Biparjoy’s gradual motion raised considerations about weak monsoon circumstances until at the very least mid-June over inside components of the nation. IMD’s prolonged vary forecast launched on Thursday confirmed rains selecting up throughout final week of June and rainfall over inside components of the nation throughout the week of June 30 to July 6. Rains haven’t began in inside components of the nation but as forecast by IMD.
“As per IMD, cyclone Biparjoy has intensified quickly from deep melancholy (55.65 kmph) to very extreme cyclone (121 KMPH) in simply 24 hours. That is a rise in wind pace of 65 kmph in 24 hourrs, which is fast intensification. Excessive sea floor temperatures (31-32 diploma C) which is 2-3 diploma above regular; excessive ocean warmth content material has led to very heat ocean floor and subsurface circumstances. Together with this vigorous higher atmospheric degree outflow, and reasonable wind shear has aided the system to accentuate quickly,” Vineet Singh had defined on Wednesday.
Roxy Mathew Koll, local weather scientist on the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, had tweeted that the imprint of local weather change on the Arabian Sea is evident. “The rise in cyclone exercise within the Arabian Sea is tightly linked to the rising ocean temperatures and elevated availability of moisture beneath international warming. Arabian Sea was once cool, however now it’s a heat pool.”
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